ASC Dortmund vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SpVgg Herne Horsthausen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Dortmund vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 ASC Dortmund win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 1-4 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs ASC Dortmund on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SpVgg Herne Horsthausen.
- Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen played?
- ASC Dortmund vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen is played on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.