Erkenschwick vs Sprockhovel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 31Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Sprockhovel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs Sprockhovel?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,649) and Sprockhovel (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sprockhovel have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Erkenschwick win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sprockhovel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel 1-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-1 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Erkenschwick 3-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Sprockhovel 2-3 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and Sprockhovel sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs Sprockhovel?
- The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Sprockhovel.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs Sprockhovel played?
- Erkenschwick vs Sprockhovel is played on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027MaaslingenvsVerl II
- May 9, 2027GievenbeckvsEintracht Rheine
- May 9, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsVreden
- May 9, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsASC Dortmund
- May 9, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- May 9, 2027Arminia IIvsHiltrup
- May 9, 2027TuS HordelvsLippstadt 08
- May 9, 2027EnnepetalvsSchermbeck