Erkenschwick vs TuS Hordel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for TuS Hordel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs TuS Hordel?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,648) and TuS Hordel (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; TuS Hordel have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Preußen Münster II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Westfalia Kinderhaus(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Erkenschwick win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 TuS Hordel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel 1-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: TuS Hordel vs Erkenschwick on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| TuS Hordel | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and TuS Hordel sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 | TuS Hordel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs TuS Hordel?
- The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for TuS Hordel.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs TuS Hordel played?
- Erkenschwick vs TuS Hordel is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027Arminia IIvsSprockhovel
- Feb 14, 2027GievenbeckvsEnnepetal
- Feb 14, 2027HiltrupvsVreden
- Feb 14, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsSchermbeck
- Feb 14, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsEintracht Rheine
- Feb 14, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsLippstadt 08
- Feb 14, 2027ASC DortmundvsMaaslingen
- Feb 14, 2027Verl IIvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen