Match

Hiltrup vs Vreden: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, Münster

HiltrupVreden

The Footlab model makes Hiltrup the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hiltrup vs Vreden?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Hiltrup (1,610) and Vreden (1,658).

Hiltrup win38 %
Draw25 %
Vreden win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hiltrup have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hiltrup
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sprockhovel(away)0-7Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(home)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Vreden(away)0-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Jul 8, 2026Wiedenbrück(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Sprockhovel(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Vreden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Maaslingen(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026ASC Dortmund(home)5-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Hiltrup(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Erkenschwick(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026ASC Dortmund(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hiltrup win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Vreden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Vreden 2-0 HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen
Apr 12, 2026Hiltrup 1-1 VredenOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 26, 2025Vreden 2-2 HiltrupOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Vreden vs Hiltrup on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hiltrup score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hiltrup0.52.323/157/15
Vreden1.62.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hiltrup sit 18th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vreden2200726
18Hiltrup30030120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hiltrup vs Vreden?
The Footlab model makes Hiltrup the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Vreden.
Where and when is Hiltrup vs Vreden played?
Hiltrup vs Vreden is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hiltrup and Vreden

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