Hiltrup vs Vreden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, Münster
The Footlab model makes Hiltrup the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hiltrup vs Vreden?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Hiltrup (1,610) and Vreden (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hiltrup have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hiltrup win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Vreden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vreden 2-0 Hiltrup | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Hiltrup 1-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vreden 2-2 Hiltrup | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Hiltrup score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiltrup | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hiltrup sit 18th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Hiltrup | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hiltrup vs Vreden?
- The Footlab model makes Hiltrup the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Vreden.
- Where and when is Hiltrup vs Vreden played?
- Hiltrup vs Vreden is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027Arminia IIvsSprockhovel
- Feb 14, 2027ErkenschwickvsTuS Hordel
- Feb 14, 2027GievenbeckvsEnnepetal
- Feb 14, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsSchermbeck
- Feb 14, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsEintracht Rheine
- Feb 14, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsLippstadt 08
- Feb 14, 2027ASC DortmundvsMaaslingen
- Feb 14, 2027Verl IIvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen