Ermis vs Spartakos Kitiou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Spartakos Kitiou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Spartakos Kitiou?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ermis (1,604) and Spartakos Kitiou (1,570).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Spartakos Kitiou have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASPIS(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AEP Polemidion(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ahironas / Onisilos(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | APEA(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(away) | 4-2 | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartakos Kitiou score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Spartakos Kitiou | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spartakos Kitiou | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Spartakos Kitiou?
- The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Spartakos Kitiou.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Spartakos Kitiou played?
- Ermis vs Spartakos Kitiou is played on January 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.