Erzurumspor FK vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
The Footlab model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Erzurumspor FK (1,952) and Gençlerbirliği S.K. (1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzurumspor FK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gençlerbirliği S.K. have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 13, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Erzurumspor FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gençlerbirliği S.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | Erzurumspor FK 1-2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-0 Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-0 Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2023 | Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1. Lig |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-2 Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erzurumspor FK vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. on Feb 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Erzurumspor FK score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gençlerbirliği S.K. score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erzurumspor FK sit 18th in Süper Lig (0 points from 2 matches) and Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erzurumspor FK vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
- The Footlab model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Gençlerbirliği S.K..
- Where and when is Erzurumspor FK vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. played?
- Erzurumspor FK vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. is played on February 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.