Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Samsunspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,208 vs 2,037).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Samsunspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 4-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fenerbahçe win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Samsunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 3-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 2-0 Samsunspor | Super Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Samsunspor 0-0 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 0-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 8th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Samsunspor sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Samsunspor.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor is played on February 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.