Esbjerg vs HB Koge: result 1-0 and analysis
1. DivisionPromotion Round - 5Kick-off on April 29, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Full time
What was the result of Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
Esbjerg won 1-0 on April 29, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 56′P. SoiriEsbjerg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esbjerg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; HB Koge have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | FC Helsingor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Viborg(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2021 | FC Fredericia(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Mar 19, 2021 | Hobro(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | FC Fredericia(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Silkeborg(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Apr 9, 2021 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Viborg(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Mar 19, 2021 | Hvidovre(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Esbjerg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 HB Koge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2020 | HB Koge 0-2 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Esbjerg 1-0 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| May 20, 2018 | Esbjerg 0-0 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Nov 26, 2017 | HB Koge 3-0 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Esbjerg 1-1 HB Koge | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Esbjerg score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; HB Koge score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| HB Koge | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esbjerg sit 9th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and HB Koge sit 12th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Esbjerg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | HB Koge | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy