Esbjerg vs HB Koge: result 1-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 24, 2017 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Full time
What was the result of Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
Esbjerg and HB Koge drew 1-1 on September 24, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 66′L. Rochester SørensenHB Koge
- 84′M. KristensenEsbjerg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esbjerg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; HB Koge have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2017 | Brabrand(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Roskilde(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Fremad Amager(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Nykobing FC(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 24, 2017 | Skive(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2017 | Naestved(away) | 3-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Viborg(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Brabrand(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Thisted FC(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2017 | Nykobing FC(home) | 4-3 | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Esbjerg score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; HB Koge score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| HB Koge | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esbjerg sit 9th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and HB Koge sit 12th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Esbjerg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | HB Koge | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy