Esenler Erokspor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Vanspor FK?
Esenler Erokspor starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esenler Erokspor have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Esenler Erokspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor 0-0 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Vanspor FK 1-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Esenler Erokspor 2-0 Vanspor FK | 2. Lig |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Vanspor FK 1-0 Esenler Erokspor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Vanspor FK 0-0 Esenler Erokspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Esenler Erokspor 2-0 Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Esenler Erokspor vs Vanspor FK on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esenler Erokspor sit 11th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esenler Erokspor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Esenler Erokspor vs Vanspor FK played?
- Esenler Erokspor vs Vanspor FK is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.