Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, Bandırma
The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Esenler Erokspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Bandırmaspor (1,884) and Esenler Erokspor (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandırmaspor have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Esenler Erokspor have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bandırmaspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Esenler Erokspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 0-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 1-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandırmaspor sit 7th in 1. Lig (5 points from 3 matches) and Esenler Erokspor sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Esenler Erokspor.
- Where and when is Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor played?
- Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.