Eskilsminne vs Orgryte IS: prediction and stats
Svenska CupenFinalKick-off on August 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Harlyckans IP, Helsingborg
The Footlab model makes Orgryte IS the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Eskilsminne. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eskilsminne vs Orgryte IS?
Orgryte IS starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,690 vs 1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eskilsminne have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Orgryte IS have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utsikten(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 3-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Kristianstad(home) | 3-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Eskilsminne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Orgryte IS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | Orgryte IS 0-1 Eskilsminne | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Orgryte IS vs Eskilsminne on Mar 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Eskilsminne score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskilsminne | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eskilsminne sit 2nd in Svenska Cupen (4 points from 3 matches) and Orgryte IS sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eskilsminne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Orgryte IS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eskilsminne vs Orgryte IS?
- The Footlab model makes Orgryte IS the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Eskilsminne.
- Where and when is Eskilsminne vs Orgryte IS played?
- Eskilsminne vs Orgryte IS is played on August 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Harlyckans IP, in the Svenska Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.