ESMTK vs Szolnoki MAV FC: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Szolnoki MAV FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ESMTK vs Szolnoki MAV FC?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ESMTK have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Szolnoki MAV FC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(away) | 0-5 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vasas II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sándorfalva(home) | 5-2 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ESMTK win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Szolnoki MAV FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Szolnoki MAV FC 0-3 ESMTK | Magyar Kupa |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Szolnoki MAV FC 2-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 7, 2024 | ESMTK 2-0 Szolnoki MAV FC | NB III - Southeast |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Szolnoki MAV FC 3-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 8, 2023 | ESMTK 4-0 Szolnoki MAV FC | NB III - Southeast |
| May 14, 2023 | Szolnoki MAV FC 3-1 ESMTK | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Szolnoki MAV FC score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Szolnoki MAV FC | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ESMTK sit 6th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Szolnoki MAV FC sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ESMTK vs Szolnoki MAV FC?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Szolnoki MAV FC.
- Where and when is ESMTK vs Szolnoki MAV FC played?
- ESMTK vs Szolnoki MAV FC is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ESMTK Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.