Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tiszaligeti Stadion, Szolnok
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Szolnoki MAV FC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Szolnoki MAV FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; ESMTK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(away) | 0-5 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vasas II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sándorfalva(home) | 5-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Szolnoki MAV FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 ESMTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Szolnoki MAV FC 0-3 ESMTK | Magyar Kupa |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Szolnoki MAV FC 2-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 7, 2024 | ESMTK 2-0 Szolnoki MAV FC | NB III - Southeast |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Szolnoki MAV FC 3-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 8, 2023 | ESMTK 4-0 Szolnoki MAV FC | NB III - Southeast |
| May 14, 2023 | Szolnoki MAV FC 3-1 ESMTK | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Szolnoki MAV FC score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szolnoki MAV FC | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Szolnoki MAV FC sit 7th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and ESMTK sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Szolnoki MAV FC.
- Where and when is Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK played?
- Szolnoki MAV FC vs ESMTK is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tiszaligeti Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.