Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Esperança d'Andorra. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is a heavy favourite: 1,702 Elo points against 1,184, a 518-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esperança d'Andorra have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | 1a Divisió |
| May 23, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(away) | 3-1 | 1a Divisió |
| May 16, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 0-4 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Vaduz(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 3-2 | Copa Constitució |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Esperança d'Andorra win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 5-0 Esperança d'Andorra | Copa Constitució |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2-1 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 3-0 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Esperança d'Andorra 0-1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
| May 11, 2025 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 5-1 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Esperança d'Andorra 0-5 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Esperança d'Andorra on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esperança d'Andorra score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Club d'Escaldes score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esperança d'Andorra | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esperança d'Andorra sit 9th in 1a Divisió (11 points from 24 matches) and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes sit 5th (34 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 34 |
| 9 | Esperança d'Andorra | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 47 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
- The Footlab model makes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Esperança d'Andorra.
- Where and when is Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes played?
- Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is played on December 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.