Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Muhlhausen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Essingen (1,769) and 1. FC Muhlhausen (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Muhlhausen have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Türkspor Neckarsulm(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Holzhausen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oberachern(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Backnang(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Muhlhausen score 2.0 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essingen | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| 1. FC Muhlhausen | 2.0 | 3.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Essingen sit 6th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and 1. FC Muhlhausen sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Essingen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen?
- The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Muhlhausen.
- Where and when is Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen played?
- Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026FV RavensburgvsCFR Pforzheim
- Sep 12, 2026Bahlinger SCvsFC 08 Villingen
- Sep 12, 2026BalingenvsBacknang
- Sep 12, 2026OberachernvsNormannia Gmünd
- Sep 12, 2026FC HolzhausenvsReutlingen
- Sep 13, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsKarlsruhe II
- Sep 13, 2026TSV SingenvsFC Nöttingen
- Sep 13, 2026Young Boys ReutlingenvsTeningen