Match

Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen

Essingen1. FC Muhlhausen

The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Muhlhausen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Essingen (1,769) and 1. FC Muhlhausen (1,722).

Essingen win48 %
Draw21 %
1. FC Muhlhausen win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Muhlhausen have 1, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Essingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Türkspor Neckarsulm(home)1-2Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026Balingen(home)3-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026Young Boys Reutlingen(away)1-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Jul 12, 2026Ansbach(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026Memmingen(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Muhlhausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Holzhausen(away)3-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 16, 2026Oberachern(home)3-5Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026Backnang(away)0-5Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

How many goals should we expect?

Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Muhlhausen score 2.0 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Essingen1.81.9212/1511/15
1. FC Muhlhausen2.03.702/33/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Essingen sit 6th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and 1. FC Muhlhausen sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Essingen3111544
131. FC Muhlhausen31026113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen?
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Muhlhausen.
Where and when is Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen played?
Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Essingen and 1. FC Muhlhausen

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