Essingen vs Backnang: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Backnang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essingen vs Backnang?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Essingen (1,774) and Backnang (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Backnang have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Türkspor Neckarsulm(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Essingen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Backnang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Backnang 2-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 16, 2025 | Backnang 1-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Essingen 5-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Backnang 0-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essingen | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Essingen sit 7th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and Backnang sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Essingen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essingen vs Backnang?
- The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Backnang.
- Where and when is Essingen vs Backnang played?
- Essingen vs Backnang is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026CFR PforzheimvsFC 08 Villingen
- Oct 24, 2026BalingenvsBahlinger SC
- Oct 24, 2026FV RavensburgvsReutlingen
- Oct 25, 2026TSV SingenvsFC Holzhausen
- Oct 25, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsNormannia Gmünd
- Oct 25, 2026Young Boys ReutlingenvsOberachern
- Oct 25, 2026Karlsruhe IIvsFC Nöttingen
- Oct 25, 20261. FC MuhlhausenvsTeningen