Essingen vs Backnang: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen
The Footlab AI model makes Backnang the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Essingen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Backnang wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essingen vs Backnang?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Essingen (1,759) and Backnang (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Essingen vs Backnang
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Essingen
Not enough data to predict the Essingen lineup.
Backnang
Not enough data to predict the Backnang lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Backnang have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | TSV Singen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Holzhausen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oberachern(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Essingen wins, 0 draws, 0 Backnang wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Backnang 2-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 16, 2025 | Backnang 1-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Essingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Essingen 5-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Backnang 0-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
Essingen score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Backnang score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essingen | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Backnang | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Essingen sit 15th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (9 points from 10 matches) and Backnang sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Backnang | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 21 |
| 15 | Essingen | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Essingen vs Backnang?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essingen vs Backnang?
- The Footlab AI model makes Backnang the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Essingen.
- Where and when is Essingen vs Backnang played?
- Essingen vs Backnang is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026CFR PforzheimvsFC 08 Villingen
- Oct 24, 2026BalingenvsBahlinger SC
- Oct 24, 2026FV RavensburgvsReutlingen
- Oct 25, 2026TSV SingenvsFC Holzhausen
- Oct 25, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsNormannia Gmünd
- Oct 25, 2026Young Boys ReutlingenvsOberachern
- Oct 25, 2026Karlsruhe IIvsFC Nöttingen
- Oct 25, 20261. FC MuhlhausenvsTeningen