Essingen vs CFR Pforzheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen
The Footlab model makes CFR Pforzheim the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Essingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essingen vs CFR Pforzheim?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Essingen (1,777) and CFR Pforzheim (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; CFR Pforzheim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Türkspor Neckarsulm(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TSV Singen(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Holzhausen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Hollenbach(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Essingen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CFR Pforzheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Essingen 5-1 CFR Pforzheim | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 3, 2025 | CFR Pforzheim 2-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 30, 2024 | CFR Pforzheim 0-1 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Essingen 0-3 CFR Pforzheim | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 18, 2024 | CFR Pforzheim 2-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Essingen 3-2 CFR Pforzheim | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Essingen vs CFR Pforzheim on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CFR Pforzheim score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essingen | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| CFR Pforzheim | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Essingen sit 6th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and CFR Pforzheim sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Essingen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | CFR Pforzheim | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essingen vs CFR Pforzheim?
- The Footlab model makes CFR Pforzheim the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Essingen.
- Where and when is Essingen vs CFR Pforzheim played?
- Essingen vs CFR Pforzheim is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026BacknangvsReutlingen
- Sep 5, 2026BalingenvsNormannia Gmünd
- Sep 5, 2026OberachernvsFC 08 Villingen
- Sep 5, 2026FC HolzhausenvsFC Nöttingen
- Sep 5, 2026Bahlinger SCvsTeningen
- Sep 6, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsFV Ravensburg
- Sep 6, 2026TSV Singenvs1. FC Muhlhausen
- Sep 6, 2026Young Boys ReutlingenvsKarlsruhe II