FC Holzhausen vs FC Nöttingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Panoramastadion Holzhausen, Sulz am Neckar
The Footlab model makes FC Nöttingen the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for FC Holzhausen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Holzhausen vs FC Nöttingen?
FC Nöttingen starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Holzhausen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Nöttingen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karlsruhe II(away) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CFR Pforzheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jun 1, 2024 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 18, 2024 | Bissingen(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Backnang(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Reutlingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | Bissingen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 22, 2026 | Essingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Holzhausen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Nöttingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | FC Nöttingen 5-1 FC Holzhausen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 4, 2023 | FC Holzhausen 3-0 FC Nöttingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Mar 3, 2023 | FC Nöttingen 2-2 FC Holzhausen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Holzhausen 3-1 FC Nöttingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: FC Nöttingen vs FC Holzhausen on Nov 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Holzhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Nöttingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Holzhausen | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Nöttingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Holzhausen sit 8th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Nöttingen sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Holzhausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Nöttingen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Holzhausen vs FC Nöttingen?
- The Footlab model makes FC Nöttingen the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for FC Holzhausen.
- Where and when is FC Holzhausen vs FC Nöttingen played?
- FC Holzhausen vs FC Nöttingen is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Panoramastadion Holzhausen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026BacknangvsReutlingen
- Sep 5, 2026BalingenvsNormannia Gmünd
- Sep 5, 2026OberachernvsFC 08 Villingen
- Sep 5, 2026EssingenvsCFR Pforzheim
- Sep 5, 2026Bahlinger SCvsTeningen
- Sep 6, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsFV Ravensburg
- Sep 6, 2026TSV Singenvs1. FC Muhlhausen
- Sep 6, 2026Young Boys ReutlingenvsKarlsruhe II