Where and when is Essingen vs FC Nöttingen played?

Essingen vs FC Nöttingen is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Essingen vs FC Nöttingen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen

Essingen

FC Nöttingen

The Footlab model makes FC Nöttingen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Essingen. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Essingen vs FC Nöttingen?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Essingen (1,774) and FC Nöttingen (1,809).

Essingen win30 %

Draw21 %

FC Nöttingen win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FC Nöttingen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Essingen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Türkspor Neckarsulm(home)	1-2	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026	Balingen(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026	Young Boys Reutlingen(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Jul 12, 2026	Ansbach(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026	Memmingen(away)	5-3	Friendlies Clubs

FC Nöttingen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Backnang(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 14, 2026	Normannia Gmünd(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 7, 2026	Reutlingen(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 30, 2026	Bissingen(away)	2-3	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 22, 2026	Essingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Essingen win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 FC Nöttingen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	FC Nöttingen 1-1 Essingen	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Nov 8, 2025	Essingen 6-2 FC Nöttingen	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Apr 26, 2025	FC Nöttingen 1-1 Essingen	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Oct 12, 2024	Essingen 2-1 FC Nöttingen	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Mar 2, 2024	Essingen 1-0 FC Nöttingen	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 26, 2023	FC Nöttingen 1-1 Essingen	Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last archived meeting: FC Nöttingen vs Essingen on May 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Nöttingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Essingen	1.8	1.9	2	12/15	11/15
FC Nöttingen	2.1	1.7	2	12/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Essingen sit 7th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Nöttingen sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Essingen	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
11	FC Nöttingen	3	1	0	2	4	5	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Essingen vs FC Nöttingen?: The Footlab model makes FC Nöttingen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Essingen.
Where and when is Essingen vs FC Nöttingen played?: Essingen vs FC Nöttingen is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.