FC Holzhausen vs Backnang: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Panoramastadion Holzhausen, Sulz am Neckar
The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for FC Holzhausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Holzhausen vs Backnang?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate FC Holzhausen (1,695) and Backnang (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Holzhausen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Backnang have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karlsruhe II(away) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CFR Pforzheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jun 1, 2024 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 18, 2024 | Bissingen(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Holzhausen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Backnang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Backnang 3-1 FC Holzhausen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Holzhausen 0-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Backnang 1-3 FC Holzhausen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 3, 2022 | FC Holzhausen 4-0 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Backnang vs FC Holzhausen on Mar 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Holzhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Holzhausen | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Holzhausen sit 9th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and Backnang sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Holzhausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Holzhausen vs Backnang?
- The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for FC Holzhausen.
- Where and when is FC Holzhausen vs Backnang played?
- FC Holzhausen vs Backnang is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Panoramastadion Holzhausen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 26, 2026Bahlinger SCvsNormannia Gmünd
- Sep 26, 2026BalingenvsOberachern
- Sep 26, 2026EssingenvsFC Nöttingen
- Sep 26, 2026FV Ravensburgvs1. FC Muhlhausen
- Sep 27, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsTeningen
- Sep 27, 2026TSV SingenvsReutlingen
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