Estac Troyes vs Bastia: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
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What was the result of Estac Troyes vs Bastia?
Estac Troyes won 1-0 on October 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′T. BentayebEstac Troyes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bastia have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Annecy(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Guingamp(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Nancy(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Rodez(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Montpellier(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Boulogne(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estac Troyes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bastia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | Estac Troyes 2-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Bastia 0-0 Estac Troyes | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Estac Troyes 2-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Bastia 3-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Bastia 2-0 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Bastia | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Bastia on Feb 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Bastia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 1st in Ligue 2 (67 points from 34 matches) and Bastia sit 17th (28 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estac Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 67 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy