Estac Troyes vs Marseille: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 21, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Full time
What was the result of Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
Estac Troyes won 1-0 on October 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 89′B. NivetEstac Troyes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Marseille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Bastia(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Toulouse(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Reims(away) | 2-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Sochaux(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2012 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Evian TG(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Nancy(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Rennes(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marseille | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 13th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Marseille sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy