Este vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Este
The Footlab model makes Este the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Este vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Este (1,762) and Calvi Noale (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Este have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Calvi Noale have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Adriese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Este win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Calvi Noale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Este 0-2 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Calvi Noale 3-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Calvi Noale 1-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Este 1-2 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Este score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Este | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Este sit 5th in Serie D - Girone C (55 points from 34 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Este | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 55 |
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Este vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab model makes Este the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Este vs Calvi Noale played?
- Este vs Calvi Noale is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.