Calvi Noale vs Luparense: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale "Azzurri d'Italia", Noale
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,979 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calvi Noale vs Luparense?
Luparense starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calvi Noale vs Luparense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calvi Noale
Not enough data to predict the Calvi Noale lineup.
Luparense
Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvi Noale have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Luparense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sandona(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brian Lignano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sandona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Este(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Brian Lignano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Schio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Calvi Noale wins, 2 draws, 3 Luparense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Calvi Noale 0-1 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Luparense 2-1 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Calvi Noale 1-2 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Luparense 1-1 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Calvi Noale 0-0 Luparense | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Calvi Noale vs Luparense on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Calvi Noale score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luparense score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvi Noale | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Luparense | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calvi Noale sit 14th in Serie D - Girone C (8 points from 8 matches) and Luparense sit 1st (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luparense | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 | Calvi Noale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Calvi Noale vs Luparense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calvi Noale vs Luparense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Calvi Noale vs Luparense played?
- Calvi Noale vs Luparense is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale "Azzurri d'Italia", in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.