Estepona vs Vélez: result 4-1 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 17, 2024 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
Full time
What was the result of Estepona vs Vélez?
Estepona won 4-1 on March 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 10′Manu VianaEstepona
- 18′Lucas PerezVélez (o.g.)
- 42′Rafa SalamaEstepona
- 90′Sergio MorenoEstepona
- 90′Nacho GomaEstepona
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Vélez have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Mar Menor(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Linense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cádiz II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Manchego(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Águilas(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Yeclano(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Real Betis II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | La Unión Atlético(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Estepona win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vélez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Vélez 1-1 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Vélez 1-0 Estepona | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Vélez 1-0 Estepona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Estepona 0-1 Vélez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vélez score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Vélez | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy