Estepona vs Recreativo Huelva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Recreativo Huelva. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Recreativo Huelva?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Estepona (1,931) and Recreativo Huelva (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Recreativo Huelva have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estepona win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Recreativo Huelva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva 5-0 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Estepona 0-1 Recreativo Huelva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo Huelva vs Estepona on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (44 points from 34 matches) and Recreativo Huelva sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 25 | 57 |
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Recreativo Huelva?
- The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Recreativo Huelva.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Recreativo Huelva played?
- Estepona vs Recreativo Huelva is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.