Estoril vs Arouca: result 2-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2023 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril won 2-0 on May 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 68′João CarvalhoEstoril
- 90′CassianoEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Arouca have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Boavista(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Santa Clara(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Benfica(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Portimonense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | SC Braga(away) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2023 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Maritimo(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Arouca 0-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2019 | Arouca 2-1 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Arouca | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy