Estoril vs Estrela: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 4, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Estrela?
Estoril won 1-0 on February 4, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 57′Mateus FernandesEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Estrela have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC Braga(away) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Benfica(away) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Arouca(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Moreirense(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024 | Benfica(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Vizela(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Arouca(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2023 | Estrela 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Estrela sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy