Estoril vs GIL Vicente: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 20, 2013 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
GIL Vicente won 1-2 on January 20, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 16′Luís LealEstoril
- 27′Cláudio Rodrigo Siqueira CarolinoGIL Vicente (pen.)
- 83′Luis Carlos Eneas da Conceição LimaGIL Vicente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; GIL Vicente have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2013 | Beira-Mar(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2013 | Benfica(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2012 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2012 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2013 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Olhanense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2012 | Beira-Mar(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Academica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/14 | 9/14 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy