Estoril vs Guimaraes: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 26, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Guimaraes?
Estoril won 1-0 on January 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 47′João CarvalhoEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Guimaraes have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Santa Clara(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Estrela(away) | 4-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2025 | O Elvas(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 4-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Farense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Nacional(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Guimaraes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2024 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Guimaraes 3-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 14th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Guimaraes sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy