Estoril vs Guimaraes: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 4, 2023 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-1 on February 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 11′Alisson SafiraGuimaraes
Official lineup for Estoril vs Guimaraes
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estoril
5-4-1- 11Cassiano
- 21Tiago Gouveia
- 20João Carvalho
- 10Francisco Geraldes
- 7Rodrigo Martins
- 31Joãozinho
- 3Bernardo Vital
- 5João Gamboa
- 23Pedro Álvaro
- 22S. Delos
- 99Daniel Figueira
Guimaraes
3-4-3- 17André Silva
- 9Alisson Safira
- 11Jota Silva
- 72Afonso de Freitas
- 10Tiago Silva
- 80Dani Silva
- 2Miguel Maga
- 3M. Villanueva
- 22I. Bamba
- 13André Amaro
- 14Bruno Varela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Guimaraes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Famalicao(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Maritimo(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2022 | Famalicao(home) | 0-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2023 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2023 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 16, 2023 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC Braga(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estoril win, 2 draws, 3 Guimaraes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2022 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Guimaraes 3-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Estoril 0-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2018 | Guimaraes 3-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2017 | Estoril 3-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Guimaraes 3-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 18th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 8 matches) and Guimaraes sit 15th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Estoril vs Guimaraes?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy