Estoril vs Rio Ave: result 1-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 7, 2012 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Rio Ave won 1-3 on October 7, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′João TomásRio Ave
- 16′TarantiniRio Ave
- 60′João TomásRio Ave
- 68′Diogo AmadoEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Rio Ave have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2012 | Olhanense(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | FC Porto(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 23, 2012 | SC Braga(away) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Academica(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 27, 2012 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Maritimo(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Rio Ave score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| Rio Ave | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Rio Ave sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy