Estradense vs Barco: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Barco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Barco?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Estradense (1,815) and Barco (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Barco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Barco
Not enough data to predict the Barco lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Barco have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estradense wins, 2 draws, 2 Barco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Estradense 3-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Barco 1-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Barco 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Estradense 3-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Barco 1-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Estradense 2-4 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barco score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Barco | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Barco sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Estradense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Estradense vs Barco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Barco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Barco.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Barco played?
- Estradense vs Barco is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.