Alondras vs Somozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Morrazo, Cangas
The Footlab AI model makes Somozas the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Alondras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Somozas wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alondras vs Somozas?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Alondras (1,765) and Somozas (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alondras vs Somozas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alondras
Not enough data to predict the Alondras lineup.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alondras have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Somozas have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Antela(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Antela(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alondras wins, 1 draw, 3 Somozas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Somozas 2-1 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Alondras 1-3 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Somozas 0-2 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Alondras 1-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Somozas 2-0 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Alondras 2-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alondras score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Somozas score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alondras | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Somozas | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alondras sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Somozas sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alondras | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Somozas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Alondras vs Somozas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alondras vs Somozas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Somozas the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Alondras.
- Where and when is Alondras vs Somozas played?
- Alondras vs Somozas is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Morrazo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.