Estradense vs Somozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Somozas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Somozas?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Estradense (1,815) and Somozas (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Somozas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Somozas have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Antela(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estradense wins, 0 draws, 3 Somozas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Estradense 2-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Somozas 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Somozas 2-0 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Estradense 3-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Somozas 3-0 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Estradense 2-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estradense vs Somozas on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Somozas score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Somozas | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Somozas sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Estradense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | Somozas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Estradense vs Somozas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Somozas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Somozas.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Somozas played?
- Estradense vs Somozas is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.