Celtiga vs Portonovo SD: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Salvador Otero, A Illa de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Celtiga the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Portonovo SD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celtiga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,146 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtiga vs Portonovo SD?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Celtiga (1,738) and Portonovo SD (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtiga vs Portonovo SD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Portonovo SD
Not enough data to predict the Portonovo SD lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtiga have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Portonovo SD have 3, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Silva(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtiga score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portonovo SD score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtiga | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Portonovo SD | 1.1 | 0.9 | 3 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtiga sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Portonovo SD sit 6th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Portonovo SD | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Celtiga vs Portonovo SD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtiga vs Portonovo SD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtiga the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Portonovo SD.
- Where and when is Celtiga vs Portonovo SD played?
- Celtiga vs Portonovo SD is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Salvador Otero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.