Estrela vs Arouca: result 1-4 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 28, 2023 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-4 on December 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 11′Kialonda GasparEstrela
- 47′Rafa MujicaArouca
- 77′JasonArouca
- 80′Javi MonteroArouca
- 90′A. BukiaArouca
Official lineup for Estrela vs Arouca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estrela
3-4-2-1- 10André Luiz
- 90Ronald
- 8Léo Jabá
- 17João Reis
- 18Vitó
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 12Jean Felipe
- 25K. Shinga
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 14Erivaldo Almeida
- 98Dida
Arouca
4-3-3- 19Rafa Mujica
- 23Cristo González
- 10Jason
- 2M. Sylla
- 8E. Kouassi
- 5David Simão
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 4Javi Montero
- 44N. Galović
- 22B. Milovanov
- 12I. de Arruabarrena
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Arouca have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | Farense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Boavista(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Vizela(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Moreirense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Boavista(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Boavista(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 12, 2023 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Arouca | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 10th in Primeira Liga (10 points from 8 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Estrela vs Arouca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy