Estrela vs Arouca: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 9, 2024 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Arouca?
Estrela won 2-1 on December 9, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′JasonArouca
- 58′Tiago EsgaioEstrela (o.g.)
- 68′Rodrigo PinhoEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Arouca have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | Farense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Benfica(away) | 0-7 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Farense(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | SC Braga(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Estoril(away) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Arouca 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Estrela 1-4 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy