Estrela vs Casa Pia: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 8, 2024 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Estrela won 3-1 on March 8, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 57′KikasEstrela
- 75′KikasEstrela
- 86′Y. SomaCasa Pia
- 90′André LuizEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Casa Pia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Portimonense(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Estoril(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Boavista(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Casa Pia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Estrela 1-1 Casa Pia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Casa Pia 3-0 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 13, 2021 | Estrela 1-0 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Casa Pia | 0.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Casa Pia sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy