Estrela vs Penafiel: result 0-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 30, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 0-2 on April 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 51′Feliz VazPenafiel
- 90′Gustavo HenriquePenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Penafiel have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Casa Pia(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Benfica B(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Vilafranquense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 20, 2022 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Academica(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Varzim(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 1, 2022 | Leixoes(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Estrela win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | Penafiel 0-2 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Estrela 0-1 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy