Penafiel vs Benfica B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Benfica B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penafiel wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penafiel vs Benfica B?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Penafiel (1,959) and Benfica B (1,993).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penafiel vs Benfica B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penafiel
3-4-3- 10Davo
- 17João Pinto
- 9Max Svensson
- 21Pedro Sá
- 8Àlex Carbonell
- 50Francisco Varela
- 85Carlinhos Augusto
- 5Jaime Sánchez
- 27Gonçalo Negrão
- 6Adrián Pica
- 1Miguel Oliveira
Benfica B
4-3-3- 74O. Tome
- 77Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
- 72A. Cabral
- 60Nuno Félix
- 76R. Quintas
- 73Miguel Figueiredo
- 55João Carvalho Fonseca
- 33Gabriel Indio
- 78D. Soares
- 62J. Neto
- 50Diogo Ferreira
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica B have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Academica(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Academica(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penafiel win, 3 draws, 2 Benfica B wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Penafiel 1-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Benfica B 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Benfica B 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Penafiel 1-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Penafiel 0-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Benfica B 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica B score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Benfica B | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 4th in Segunda Liga (13 points from 7 matches) and Benfica B sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Penafiel vs Benfica B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penafiel vs Benfica B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Benfica B.
- Where and when is Penafiel vs Benfica B played?
- Penafiel vs Benfica B is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.