Estrela vs Penafiel: result 0-1 and analysis
Taça da Liga2nd RoundKick-off on August 1, 2021 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 0-1 on August 1, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 37′RobertoPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Penafiel have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2021 | Vizela(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 13, 2021 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2021 | Varzim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Sporting de Lourel(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2021 | Moreirense(home) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| May 21, 2021 | Feirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| May 16, 2021 | Vizela(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 9, 2021 | Varzim(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 2, 2021 | Estoril(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy