Estrela vs Tondela: result 0-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Tondela?
Tondela won 0-2 on February 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′BebetoTondela (pen.)
- 75′Pedro MaranhãoTondela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tondela have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Estrela win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Tondela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tondela 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Estrela 0-0 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Tondela 1-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tondela | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy