Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central: prediction and stats
Copa ArgentinaRound of 16Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Barracas Central. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Estudiantes L.P. starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes L.P. have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Barracas Central have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 4-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 25, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estudiantes L.P. win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Barracas Central win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Barracas Central 2-1 Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Barracas Central 1-1 Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Barracas Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Estudiantes L.P. 5-2 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Estudiantes L.P. 3-1 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central on Oct 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Estudiantes L.P. score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barracas Central score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Barracas Central | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
- The Footlab model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Barracas Central.
- Where and when is Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central played?
- Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central is played on August 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, in the Copa Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.