Ethiopia vs Congo: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup stage - 2Kick-off on January 17, 2014 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Congo?
Congo won 0-1 on January 17, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 78′165089Congo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 4 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Congo have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | Libya(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Sudan(home) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 3, 2013 | South Sudan(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Zanzibar(home) | 3-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 27, 2013 | Kenya(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | Ghana(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Congo DR(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 7, 2013 | Congo DR(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 11; Congo score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 2/11 | 2/11 |
| Congo | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Congo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy