Ethiopia vs Djibouti: result 4-3 and analysis
African Nations Championship1st RoundKick-off on August 4, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dire Dawa Stadium, Dire Dawa
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Djibouti?
Ethiopia won 4-3 on August 4, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Djibouti have 1, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2019 | Djibouti(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Ghana(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Kenya(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Kenya(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2019 | Ethiopia(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-5 | African Nations Championship |
| Mar 28, 2017 | South Sudan(away) | 0-6 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 22, 2017 | South Sudan(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Ethiopia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Djibouti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2019 | Djibouti 0-1 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Ethiopia 3-0 Djibouti | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Djibouti 1-5 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Djibouti score 0.3 and concede 3.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Djibouti | 0.3 | 3.3 | 1 | 2/12 | 8/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy