Ethiopia vs Ghana: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup stage - 3Kick-off on January 21, 2014 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Ghana?
Ghana won 0-1 on January 21, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 77′165056Ghana (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 4 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Ghana have 3, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2014 | Congo(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 13, 2014 | Libya(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Sudan(home) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 3, 2013 | South Sudan(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Zanzibar(home) | 3-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2014 | Libya(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 13, 2014 | Congo(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 2, 2010 | Uruguay(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2010 | USA(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2010 | Germany(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; Ghana score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 2/12 | 2/12 |
| Ghana | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2 | 4/7 | 1/7 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy