Ethnikos Gazoros vs Apollon Smirnis: result 1-0 and analysis
Football LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Serron, Serres
Full time
What was the result of Ethnikos Gazoros vs Apollon Smirnis?
Ethnikos Gazoros won 1-0 on February 6, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 43′Sotirios KonstantinidisEthnikos Gazoros (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethnikos Gazoros have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Apollon Smirnis have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2013 | Iraklis Psachna(away) | 0-1 | Football League |
| Jan 27, 2013 | Ergotelis(home) | 0-1 | Football League |
| Jan 11, 2013 | Niki Volos(home) | 1-1 | Football League |
| Jan 7, 2013 | Thrasyvoulos(away) | 0-1 | Football League |
| Dec 23, 2012 | Xanthi FC(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2013 | Panetolikos(home) | 0-2 | Football League |
| Jan 31, 2013 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jan 27, 2013 | Olympiakos Volos(away) | 0-3 | Football League |
| Jan 20, 2013 | Giannitsa(away) | 0-0 | Football League |
| Jan 16, 2013 | Panthrakikos(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethnikos Gazoros score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Smirnis score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Gazoros | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Apollon Smirnis | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy