Match

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Feraios: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Néo Keramídi Pierías, Palaio Keramidi

Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouFeraios

The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Feraios. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Feraios?

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win62 %
Draw21 %
Feraios win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Feraios have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Elassona(away)3-2Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group
May 14, 2026Panthrakikos(home)3-2Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group
May 10, 2026Apollon Pontou(away)2-3Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group
May 3, 2026Elassona(home)1-2Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group
Apr 29, 2026Panthrakikos(away)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Feraios?
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Feraios.
Where and when is Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Feraios played?
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Feraios is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Néo Keramídi Pierías, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou and Feraios

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